population dynamics

Where theory meets reality: Viral disease in field populations of forest Lepidoptera

Viral disease is a major component of the cyclic population dynamics of some Lepidoptera including western tent caterpillars. Epizootics of nucleopolyhedrovirus and host population subdivision provide an arena in which selection on virulence of virus and resistance of hosts could act. Theory predicts that epizootics should select for host resistance and that viral isolates should respond to this change on a population-by-population basis. Experiments provide evidence that these interactions are occurring but that patterns are weak as compared to other factors that determine the cyclic population dynamics. In addition there is no evidence for induced immunity or selection within a generation of tent caterpillars. The factors that promote the rapid development of NPV epizootics remain a mystery and are the topic of future research.

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